On our Mind.
Now is No Time for Doomers
With the 2024 election drawing closer, many people are dialing in to their fears and hopes. For investors, now is a good time to step…
Follow Themes not Storylines
As the presidential election cycle wears on (ugh), dramatic and startling storylines are attracting much attention. To name a few: recent convictions of the former…
Prudence in Both Bad Times, and Good
Prudence in Both Bad Times, and GoodDon’t be an emotional investor. Overall portfolio performance is impacted by many things: how much is invested in stocks…
Taking stock of 2023 and looking to the year ahead.
Taking Stock of 2023 and Looking to the Year Ahead2023 turned out to be a positive year for stocks. This came as something of a…
September 2023 – the past three years…
These Past Three Years… Many of the worst market events in history have occurred in September and October. Ominous, right? Is the potential/averted/potential government shutdown…
What now? Sorting and restructuring
Introduction Okay, so the debt default crisis didn’t happen. Was that a near miss, or was it never actually in doubt? The whole situation was framed…
Debt Ceiling Debate: Crisis?
Originally disseminated in May, 2023 Introduction The Deficit. The debt ceiling. Spending cuts. Default. The news out of Washington has been on a slow boil of…
Banking Stress – This is not 2008
Ugh, so how bad is this?Animal spirits is the term John Maynard Keynes used to describe stock market buyers and sellers. This certainly seems apt…
Down, Up, and Sideways
Intro: Context Always MattersWith the fearful headlines of the day, it’s important to consider the context. We are experiencing aftershocks from an event unprecedented in…
And Now War
March, 2022 Introduction: Grim Times Need Context. And now we add conventional land war in Europe to the list of impossibilities of the past few…
2021 Year in Review
Let’s Remember the ContextThis can help us follow trends that may take many years, even decades to play out. Without context, we can often become…
What’s the Alternative?
As an investor, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term prospects for stocks, though in the next few years we could see moderate overall returns…
Cryptocurrency: What’s it all about?
Cryptocurrency: What’s it all about? Introduction Cryptocurrencies. This topic receives a great deal of attention nowadays and has left many people, including myself, with…
Cautiously Optimistic
Introduction – What the Heck am I Talking About?In spite of some ominous current headlines, I remain cautiously optimistic with perhaps a short-term tilt towards…
Roaring Twenties? Really?
We have come a long way since this time last year. Anecdotally, there are many signs of recovery. But at the same time, there are…
Bubbles, bubbles, Toil, and Troubles. Another Rewrite
I’ve rewritten this essay three times now since the beginning of January. I started out hoping to write something cogent about all that we’d been…
Now What?
In Rhode Island where I live, we are in the midst of a two-week “pause” which is something just a bit less restrictive than the…
Why is the Market Rallying?
Riots, pandemic, destruction. Disastrous levels of unemployment. Awful GDP numbers. And yet the market rallies. This seems discordant, to say the least. It can be…
Oil Prices Turn Negative, What is Going On?!?
The news that oil prices turned negative is surprising and concerning, to say the least. Here are some thoughts about this situation and where it…
No Way Out But Through
First quarter of 2020 has just ended and almost no superlative seems too great to describe these past months. So much happened at such a…
Another Great Depression?
As this coronavirus crisis has progressed, the tenor of the news has progressed too – in many cases taking on an ominous tone. These are…